
Summary:
Domestic commercial vehicle (CV) volumes are expected to reach one million in FY26, matching the pre-pandemic peak of FY19, according to Crisil. This growth is driven by infrastructure expansion, vehicle replacement needs, and support from the PM-eBus Sewa scheme. Light commercial vehicles (LCVs), fueled by e-commerce and storage demands, will account for 62% of total volumes. Additionally, demand from the cement and mining sectors will contribute to overall growth.
Crisil forecasts a 2-4% increase in medium and heavy commercial vehicle (M&HCV) volumes, driven by infrastructure projects in construction, highways, and metro rail. LCVs are expected to grow 4-6% in Tier 2 and 3 cities, fueled by increased e-commerce and warehousing. The PM-eBus Sewa scheme will boost demand for electric buses. Overall, commercial vehicle volumes are likely to rise by 3-5%, supported by lower inflation and replacement demand
Source: IBEF
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